I know it’s hard to believe, but there actually is one. (note: this post is wonky, but worth your time).
Here’s economist Bruce Bartlett, a supply-sider who once worked in the Reagan administration:
I know it’s hard to believe, but there actually is one. (note: this post is wonky, but worth your time).
Here’s economist Bruce Bartlett, a supply-sider who once worked in the Reagan administration:
In preparation for the funeral for slain Chattanooga police Sergeant Tim Chapin later today, I thought I’d post some songs that are appropriate for the occasion.
Samuel Barber’s “Adagio for Strings” is perhaps one of the saddest pieces of music ever created.
The same goes for Chopin’s Piano Sonata No. 2, commonly known as the ‘Funeral March.’
Above: Mozart’s K. 477 “Masonic Funeral Music.”
Above: Faure’s Requiem, movement 1
And finally, here’s “the Lark Ascending” by Ralph Vaughn Williams.
If you have a suggestion for a song that would fit with the ones above, please feel free to make one.
Rest in peace, Sergeant Chapin. May your family find peace, and your legacy of service to this community last forever.
Programming note: Funeral coverage begins on NewsChannel9.com at 1pm. You can watch the full service here.
Update: click ‘read more’ to hear more song suggestions from viewers.
On March 25th, 1931, the wheels of injustice started turning in Scottsboro, Alabama (in Chattanooga’s back yard). The infamous “Scottsboro Boys” case began when two white girls accused 9 African-Americans between the ages of 13 and 21 of rape.
8 of the 9 were first sentenced to death. Those sentences were later reduced, but they all were sent to prison based on flimsy evidence, despite appeals. The case drew national attention, too. And who took the side of justice for these men? The American Communist Party, as it happens.
Read more about the case here, here, here, and here.
And check out how the Scottsboro Boys Museum in Scottsboro plans to mark today’s anniversary here.
& check out a Scottsboro native’s great walking tour through the local landmarks having to do with the case:
Above: an enlightening chart from ProPublica:
“The top part of the graph shows the actual number of deaths from severe accidents in developed countries [4] from 1970 through 2008. The bottom part of the graph shows the number of deaths that might result [5] from a catastrophic event at an average site in the developed world. This does not show the worst case scenario for any situation, but it gives a sense of the relative risks associated with different sources of energy.”
Image: “Hatsuhana Prays under a Waterfall” by Kuniyoshi Utagawa (1842)
I don’t think one can find a better image to encapsulate what’s going on in Japan this week.
Jonathan Chait’s makes a reasonable case that former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty is his pick for the 2012 GOP nomination:
“In the end, Pawlenty’s calling card is an ability to appeal to white working-class voters. Pawlenty calls himself a “Sam’s Club Republican.” The phrase has also been used by Ross Douthat and Reihan Salam in urging the party to adopt a more working-class friendly platform. But the coincidence between the two uses of the phrase ends there. Pawlenty does not dissent in any way from the party’s plutocratic platform—his notion of working class appeal lies purely in the realm of personal style. This, too, places Pawlenty squarely in the George W. Bush mold of nominee, a reasonably (though not wildly) talented pol who uses charisma to demonstrate working-class authenticity while reliably toeing the party line.”
I’m not entirely sure I agree with that 100%, but I do agree with Chait’s description of how the nomination could fall into Pawlenty’s lap (click the link above). He outlines how each of the other existing possibles will fail to win, meaning T-Paw gets the nomination by the process of elimination. In my view, that’s the only way it can happen, because there is little chance Pawlenty will emerge as the “clear front-runner” in the race.
The National Review’s Ramesh Ponnuro makes a similar case.
But blogger Andrew Sullivan doesn’t buy it.
It’s also worth noting here that at this point in the 2008 election cycle – 20 months out – just about every candidate on either side of the aisle had declared their candidacies. This time around, only Herman Cain has officially declared, and Newt Gingrich has come the closest to being the second to do so.
In presidential contests, it’s a fact that the GOP has long been a party that likes to a) have a clear front-runner designated from the get-go, & b) to give the nomination to whoever’s “turn” it is. Neither scenario seems to be playing out for the year ahead.
Stay tuned.
FURTHER READING: BusinessInsider.com has a great primer on the current GOP field, & each candidate’s chances.
The ‘Carnival’ festival long predates the partying in New Orleans.
Above: “the Battle between Carnival and Lent” by Pieter Breughel, one of my favorite artists (click on the image to make it bigger). This was painted in 1559.
Dave at Madam Pickwick writes:
“Bruegel collected about a hundred Netherlandish proverbs in 1559, and in this picture showed many being acted out en masse, thus producing a kind of satirical ballet on the subject of humanity’s infinite capacity to demean and defraud themselves.”
Above: ‘a Carnival Evening‘ by Henri Rousseau, painted in 1886:
“First shown in the second Salon des Indépendants in Paris in 1886, this painting is an early demonstration of Henri Rousseau’s unique chromatic imagination, his proto-Surrealist ability to juggle unexpected pictorial elements, and his untutored but brilliant skill in the stylization of forms.”
Above: “Dressing for the Carnival” by Winslow Homer, painted in 1877.
From the Long Goodbye blog:
“It is not unusual for some of Homer’s works to have an official name and to also be known by a popular name bestowed on them by public years ago. This work is known in particular for its unsentimental quality, Homer presenting the everyday life of African Americans more in the spirit of a candid photo rather then staged for effect.”
This is but a small sampling. More artworks about Carnival here.
What’s the best way the city of Chattanooga can manage growth in the coming years?
Believe it or not, if you live in Tennessee, you’re not paying as many as others in the nation.
That’s according to a new study by the Tax Foundation, reported in the Memphis Commercial Appeal:
“The Tax Foundation estimates the average total tax burden for residents of each state, including taxes paid in their home states and paid to other states by virtue of working in, traveling to, owning property in or buying products in them. The Tax Foundation says its method takes the point of view of the taxpayer, counting all state and local taxes no matter which state they pay them to.”
Its findings? Tennesseeans pay the 4th lowest tax rate in the country.
“The study, which does not take into account federal taxes, concludes Tennesseans on average pay 7.6 percent of their per capita income of $36,157 in state and local taxes, which ranks 47th among the states. It estimates Tennesseans paid about $1,851 per capita in state and local taxes to Tennessee jurisdictions and $902 to other state and local governments, for a combined $2,752.”
And there’s more good news:
“Tennessee’s 7.6 percent rate is also down, from 7.7 percent in fiscal year 2008 and from 8.2 percent in 1977.”
But isn’t this offset by high gasoline rates we’re experiencing due to the unrest in the Middle East?
Well, not exactly. Check out this report at the Economist blog, which finds Americans pay extremely low prices for gas compared to the rest of the world.
But: I know. Perception is reality, right?
What do you think?
Mike Huckabee defended the First Lady’s anti-obesity campaign yesterday:
“She’s been criticized. . . out of a reflex rather than out of a thoughtful expression,” Huckabee said at a session with reporters hosted by The Christian Science Monitor. “It’s exactly what Republicans say they believe, which is you put an emphasis on personal responsibility. . . . I thought that’s what we were about.
“I think we should be thanking her and praising her.”
This is a shrewd move, and raises a larger issue about the 2012 presidential campaign. It’s my view that a GOP candidate who echoes those who are trying to find fault in everything the president and first lady do will be far, far less successful in the general election.
While many on the Left had good reason to criticize George W. Bush (just imagine how the Right would howl if Obama had handled Iraq the way he did), they also didn’t do themselves any favors by being unwilling or unable to find anything good about him, or, at the very least, sit on their hands rather than raise vocal objections for every single thing he did.
Most of the time, keeping one’s powder dry for the fights that are actually consequential can be strategically important.
The 2012 race – as with all others – is all about winning over the support of independent voters. Painting an anti-obesity campaign – one that Huckabee (in my view, correctly) can say arguably upholds conservative principles – as somehow dastardly will not help win over this group.
What do you think?
Let’s start with this picture, taken by this person, which has been bouncing around the internet since it was taken this week. What you see are Coptic Christians in Egypt joining hands to protect Muslims while they pray:
“We came here to show that every Egyptian should be here and wants to be here. There is no difference between Christians and Muslims,” said Mina Shehata, a Christian from Nagaa Hamady, the site of a drive-by shooting that killed six Copts in early 2010.
Images of mingling crosses and crescents which appeared after the Alexandria bombing that killed 23 people have been common sights in Tahrir Square through the protests.
“We do not want Mubarak. The people here do not want him. Muslims and Christians do not want him,” said Mariam Eissa Nasif, 25, a silver cross dangling around her neck.”
It certainly sends a powerful message. And it makes me wonder: would this play out the same way in the USA? I would like to think so, and there has been evidence of inter-religious harmony. But at the same time I believe there is a sizable number of people in this country who would do no such thing. Again, this is just my impression, and I want to hear what you have to say on the topic.
“Coptic” Christianity is perhaps the least known sect of Christianity, even though it is as ancient as the Orthodox and Catholic faiths. Read more about Coptic Christianity, and how it differs from other Christian faiths, here.
Back to what’s happening in Egypt. George Packer provides a sharp analysis of how this uprising compares to others in recent history – specifically the question of what helps a popular uprising succeed:
“Egypt’s revolution has a number of counts against it, the main one being the hollow core where Egyptian civil society ought to be—the absence of institutions, groups, and leaders that could shape this massive expression of popular will into an organized counterforce to the regime’s violence, with the means to reach deep into the military hierarchy and a strategy for victory. Instead, Mubarak systematically closed off that space, so that he could say to the world: me or the Islamists, choose. In Burma in 2007, there was a similar void of opposition leadership, other than the moral power of the monks. Young Burmese later told me that they considered their headless revolution more flexible and durable than the older kind—one student called it “post-modern”—but the regime crushed it without much trouble, and hundreds of young Burmese are now rotting away in far-flung prisons.
Iran, on the other hand, had the key elements for popular success in 2009: a broad and alienated middle class, organized groups of civil society, professional journalists, a sophisticated political opposition. If you ignored the regime for a moment, Iran would have seemed a likelier candidate for a victorious velvet revolution than, say, East Germany in 1989, whose opposition consisted of a few pacifist churches and scattered writers and artists. But the regime made all the difference. Iran’s Revolutionary Guards and Basij paramilitaries remained loyal and were ready, even eager, to inflict limitless violence. Ill-informed observers have shed a lot of ink explaining that certain authoritarian regimes stay in power because of the country’s religion, its culture, its people’s passivity or respect for authority or love of pleasure. In fact, the reason is much simpler. The difference between success and failure, between the Philippines and Burma, the Soviet Union and China, Poland and Iran, comes down to the willingness of security forces to fire their weapons into unarmed crowds. Very few people will stay in the main square once it’s certain they’ll be mowed down.”
Meanwhile, Christopher Hitchens writes a good piece on the seemingly perpetual stupidity of the world’s dictators, who never seem to learn:
“How gratifying it is that all such regimes go on making the same obvious mistakes. None of them ever seems to master a few simple survival techniques: Don’t let the supreme leader’s extended family go on shopping sprees; don’t publicly spoil some firstborn as if the people can’t wait for him, too, to be proclaimed from the balcony; don’t display your personal photograph all over the landscape; don’t claim more than, say, 75% of the vote in any “election” you put on. And don’t try to shut down social media: It will instantly alert even the most somnolent citizen to the fact that you are losing, or have lost, your grip. People do not like to be treated like fools, or backward infants, or extras in some parade. There is a natural and inborn resistance to such tutelage, for the simple-enough reasons that young people want to be regarded as adults, and parents can’t bear to be humiliated in front of their children. One of Francis Fukuyama’s better observations, drawing on his study of Hegel and Nietzsche, was that history shows people just as prepared to fight for honour and recognition as they are for less abstract concepts like food or territory.
Sooner or later, the line gets crossed and people can take no more.”
Happy Chinese New Year!
It’s the year of the hare (a word I prefer to rabbit).
What does it mean to be born in the year of the hare?
“People who were born in the Year of the Rabbit are believed to be articulate, talented, and ambitious. They are considered to be virtuous, reserved, and have exceptional taste. Rabbit people are admired, trusted, and are often financially lucky. They are prone to gossip, but are tactful and generally kind about it. Rabbit people rarely lose their composure. They are successful in business, very conscientious, and do not back out of a contract. Rabbit people would make good gamblers because they are believed to be able to choose the ‘right’ thing. However, they rarely gamble, because they are also conservative and wise. Rabbit people are most compatible with individuals born in the years of the Sheep, Pig, and Dog.”
The Chinese have an extensive list of New Year’s traditions; read up on them here.
The image above is by the great German Renaissance artist Albrecht Durer, created in 1502.
The answer is still uncertain with events happening at a rapid pace, but oil experts Frank A. Verrastro and Guy Caruso speculate:
“..at this juncture the primary oil market concerns relate to ensuring the continuous operations of the Suez Canal and the Sumed Pipeline, which connect the Red Sea and the Mediterranean. To date, we have seen no evidence of work stoppages, strikes, or efforts to sabotage either of these key transit areas, and we believe that the Egyptian military will make every effort to ensure that oil and cargo passage remains unimpeded. That said, to the extent the perception of increased shipping risk in this area persists, we may well see an increase in insurance and/or tanker rates, which could also impact prices.“
So what would happen if events force the Suez Canal (see above) to close?
For starters, Egypt produces roughly 700 thousand barrels per day (mb/d) of oil, substantial volumes (2 tcf) of natural gas, and also is home to the largest refining sector in Africa and consequently exports refined product. Perhaps more significantly, however, is that its location and infrastructure facilities make it a key transit area for oil and gas movements both north and south. The fact that there is currently ample spare crude oil capacity in the world to offset any loss of Egyptian output is of little comfort due to the transit requirements of moving additional Middle East oil to European markets—hence the designation of the Suez Canal as a significant oil transit “choke point.” However, the presence of (global) spare production and refining capacity would, in time, allow for markets to adjust by altering supply routes and destinations to offset in-country supply losses.
At this site, you can check where oil prices currently are. As you can see when you go there, they have spiked since the Egypt crisis began, but prices still have not reached the highs they were last month.
Check what the average gallon of unleaded gas costs in the Chattanooga area, here. As of this writing, prices here appear to range between $2.82 and $2.99.
A lot happening in Egypt right now.
Here are some links so you can keep track:
ABC News’s comprehensive Egypt coverage here.
The Daily Dish has been an essential source this week. So has the New York Times’ “the Lede Blog.”
If you’re on Twitter, here’s a list of tweeters out of Egypt to follow.
Chattanooga native Andrew Exum is one of the best bloggers out there on unfolding world events and the U.S.’s role in them. Check out his blog “Abu Muqawama here. In this post he also provides a list of people whose views on Egypt he takes most seriously.
Should the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt be feared? Justin Elliott talks to an expert.
An old college roommate of mine, Scott Nelson, is taking some fantastic pictures of events as they unfold in Cairo.
Beloved Tennessee blogger Newscoma has a couple of good posts on what the Egypt story means closer to home, here and here.
Don’t miss this great column on what’s happening in Egypt means for the U.S. from Ross Douthat.
I’ll add links to this post when I see something worth your time, so check back.
And if you have a suggestion for a good site to track events in Egypt, feel free to tell us about it in the comments section!